Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.036544 0.039474 0.042549 0.046022 0.049841 0.053919 0.058611
2025-03-23 0.031520 0.035607 0.040134 0.045539 0.051841 0.058989 0.067750
2025-03-30 0.028137 0.032861 0.038307 0.045090 0.053368 0.063212 0.075909
2025-04-06 0.025379 0.030425 0.036430 0.044167 0.053963 0.066077 0.082380
2025-04-13 0.023854 0.029260 0.035876 0.044664 0.056165 0.070903 0.091537
2025-04-20 0.022379 0.027996 0.035039 0.044640 0.057581 0.074696 0.099519
2025-04-27 0.021367 0.027218 0.034721 0.045203 0.059722 0.079511 0.109207
2025-05-04 0.020183 0.026117 0.033875 0.044950 0.060669 0.082676 0.116728
2025-05-11 0.019171 0.025169 0.033153 0.044781 0.061666 0.085912 0.124547
2025-05-18 0.018230 0.024254 0.032406 0.044501 0.062439 0.088820 0.132042
2025-05-25 0.017442 0.023498 0.031824 0.044396 0.063429 0.092071 0.140288
2025-06-01 0.016552 0.022548 0.030906 0.043728 0.063498 0.093877 0.146299
2025-06-08 0.015655 0.021552 0.029881 0.042852 0.063206 0.095118 0.151526
2025-06-15 0.014958 0.020810 0.029185 0.042429 0.063582 0.097435 0.158773
2025-06-22 0.014321 0.020122 0.028531 0.042022 0.063941 0.099722 0.166135
2025-06-29 0.013615 0.019300 0.027633 0.041174 0.063516 0.100642 0.171075
2025-07-06 0.013292 0.019036 0.027563 0.041631 0.065259 0.105358 0.183428
2025-07-13 0.012874 0.018605 0.027214 0.041610 0.066184 0.108694 0.193455
2025-07-20 0.012609 0.018398 0.027199 0.042126 0.068051 0.113823 0.207457
2025-07-27 0.012190 0.017931 0.026751 0.041894 0.068586 0.116553 0.216893
2025-08-03 0.011813 0.017514 0.026363 0.041739 0.069239 0.119531 0.227109
2025-08-10 0.011436 0.017082 0.025930 0.041481 0.069683 0.122131 0.236764
2025-08-17 0.011113 0.016725 0.025603 0.041385 0.070411 0.125318 0.247991